El Niño Models - Q&A

Thursday, October 16, 2014

Mike Crimmins and Zack Guido talk about El Niño forecast models and the way that different metrics are used to predict/forecast an El Niño event.

Taken from the CLIMAS Southwest Climate Podcast

--Mike Crimmins - CLIMAS: Climate Assessment for the Southwest & University of Arizona Cooperative Extension
--Zack Guido - University of AZ International Research and Application Program (IRAP)
--Ben McMahan - CLIMAS: Climate Assessment for the Southwest
--Emily Huddleston - CLIMAS: Climate Assessment for the Southwest

Image Credits (in order of appearance):
Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies - April to December during building El Niño -
Source: NOAA/Climate.gov

Global Sea Surface Anomalies - La Niña (1988) vs El Niño (1997) - Source: NOAA/Climate.gov

Ocean SST anomalies during ENSO cycle - Source: http://bobtisdale.wordpress.com

Mid-Sept IRI/CPC Plume-Based Probabilistic ENSO Forecast - Source: IRI/CPC

April/May/June SST in Pacific Ocean - Source: NOAA/Climate.gov

Mid-Sept 2014 Plume of Model ENSO Predictions - Source: IRI/CPC

Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) over time - Source: NOAA/CPC

El Niño vs. La Niña Winter Patterns - Source: NOAA