Southwest Climate Outlook November 2005

Date issued

November Climate Summary
– Moderate drought to abnormally dry conditions persist in southeastern
and northeastern Arizona, and have expanded eastward to include most of New
• Pasture and range land conditions continue to degrade in Arizona and improve slightly in New Mexico.
Drought conditions are much improved from last year, but the large Colorado River reservoirs and Elephant Butte Reservoir in New Mexico remain
below average.
Temperature –
Since the start of the water year, and over the last 30 days, temperatures over most of the Southwest have been above average.
Precipitation –
Since the start of the water year, most of the Southwest has been
drier than average.
Climate Forecasts –
Models indicate increased chances of above-average temperatures in the Southwest through May of 2006, but there are no forecasted precipitation anomalies for the region.
El Niño –
ENSO-neutral conditions are most likely to exist during the next six to
nine months.
The Bottom Line –
Drought is likely to persist along some parts of the Arizona-
New Mexico border. Hydrological drought continues to affect some large reservoir
levels in the Southwest.

Published by the Climate Assessment for the Southwest (CLIMAS), with support from University of Arizona Cooperative Extension, the Arizona State Climate Office, and the New Mexico State Climate office.

Disclaimer. This packet contains official and non-official forecasts, as well as other information. While we make every effort to verify this information, please understand that we do not warrant the accuracy of any of these materials. The user assumes the entire risk related to the use of this data. CLIMAS, UA Cooperative Extension, and the State Climate Office at Arizona State University (ASU) disclaim any and all warranties, whether expressed or implied, including (without limitation) any implied warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose. In no event will CLIMAS, UA Cooperative Extension, and the State Climate Office at ASU or The University of Arizona be liable to you or to any third party for any direct, indirect, incidental, consequential, special or exemplary damages or lost profit resulting from any use or misuse of this data.