Southwest Climate Outlook January 2007

Date issued

January Climate Summary
Drought – Conditions have improved somewhat in New Mexico due to winter
precipitation but have deteriorated slightly in Arizona.
• In the short-term, much of New Mexico is drought-free while most of Arizona
is abnormally dry or in moderate drought.
• Long-term conditions are forecast to improve somewhat with the expectation
of above-average winter precipitation.
Temperature – Temperatures over the past thirty days have generally been cooler
than average for most of the Southwest.
Precipitation – Over the past month, most of Arizona has had below-average precipitation
while large regions in New Mexico have had above-average precipitation.
Climate Forecasts – Forecasters predict increased chances for above-average temperatures
and above-average precipitation for most of the Southwest through May.
El Niño – Weak El Niño conditions are expected to persist through April, though
the current event may have already reached peak strength.
The Bottom Line – Cooler-than-average temperatures combined with predicted
above-average precipitation this winter could mean drought relief, increased water
supplies, and fewer wildfires later in the year for the Southwest.

Published by the Climate Assessment for the Southwest (CLIMAS), with support from University of Arizona Cooperative Extension, the Arizona State Climate Office, and the New Mexico State Climate office.

Disclaimer. This packet contains official and non-official forecasts, as well as other information. While we make every effort to verify this information, please understand that we do not warrant the accuracy of any of these materials. The user assumes the entire risk related to the use of this data. CLIMAS, UA Cooperative Extension, and the State Climate Office at Arizona State University (ASU) disclaim any and all warranties, whether expressed or implied, including (without limitation) any implied warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose. In no event will CLIMAS, UA Cooperative Extension, and the State Climate Office at ASU or The University of Arizona be liable to you or to any third party for any direct, indirect, incidental, consequential, special or exemplary damages or lost profit resulting from any use or misuse of this data.