Southwest Climate Outlook January 2005

Date issued

January 2005 Climate Summary
Hydrological Drought
– Hydrological drought continues in Arizona and much of
New Mexico.
• Drought impacts have eased in northern and central Arizona and central
New Mexico.
• Many reservoirs have held steady or increased slightly.
– Wetter-than-average conditions dominated the Southwest over the
past 30 days due to recent storm systems. Snowpack is also above average in many
river basins in the region.
– Water year temperatures are near average in Arizona and New Mex
ico, while the past 30 days have generally been near- to above-average.
Climate Forecasts
– Long-lead forecasts call for increased chances of warmer-than-
average conditions in Arizona and western New Mexico through July. Increased
chances of above-average precipitation are predicted through May.
El Niño
– El Niño conditions in the tropical Pacific Ocean are forecasted to con
tinue through May, although changes in its strength are difficult to forecast.
The Bottom Line
– Limited improvement in drought conditions are expected in
the coming months, although reservoir levels are forecasted to remain low.

Published by the Climate Assessment for the Southwest (CLIMAS), with support from University of Arizona Cooperative Extension, the Arizona State Climate Office, and the New Mexico State Climate office.

Disclaimer. This packet contains official and non-official forecasts, as well as other information. While we make every effort to verify this information, please understand that we do not warrant the accuracy of any of these materials. The user assumes the entire risk related to the use of this data. CLIMAS, UA Cooperative Extension, and the State Climate Office at Arizona State University (ASU) disclaim any and all warranties, whether expressed or implied, including (without limitation) any implied warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose. In no event will CLIMAS, UA Cooperative Extension, and the State Climate Office at ASU or The University of Arizona be liable to you or to any third party for any direct, indirect, incidental, consequential, special or exemplary damages or lost profit resulting from any use or misuse of this data.