Southwest Climate Outlook April 2007

Date issued

April Climate Summary
Drought – Drought conditions persist in most of Arizona, while New Mexico remains
mostly drought free.
Fire Danger – Fire danger potential in most of the Southwest is forecast to be normal
this spring, and fire activity is expected to be much less than last year.
Temperature – Temperatures in the Southwest have been above average except for
areas in eastern New Mexico, which have been slightly cooler than average.
Precipitation – Precipitation was above average for much of New Mexico and most
of central and southern Arizona due to the passage of several storm systems.
Climate Forecasts – Temperatures are forecast to be above average through October
2007, while precipitation forecasts predict equal chances of below-average,
average, or above-average rainfall.
El Niño – Current ENSO conditions are neutral, and there is a 50 percent chance
of La Niña conditions developing later this summer.
The Bottom Line – Recent precipitation has kept drought conditions from worsening
in the Southwest, but streamflows and reservoir inflow are forecast to be below
normal this spring due to below-average snowpack and early runoff from warm

Published by the Climate Assessment for the Southwest (CLIMAS), with support from University of Arizona Cooperative Extension, the Arizona State Climate Office, and the New Mexico State Climate office.

Disclaimer. This packet contains official and non-official forecasts, as well as other information. While we make every effort to verify this information, please understand that we do not warrant the accuracy of any of these materials. The user assumes the entire risk related to the use of this data. CLIMAS, UA Cooperative Extension, and the State Climate Office at Arizona State University (ASU) disclaim any and all warranties, whether expressed or implied, including (without limitation) any implied warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose. In no event will CLIMAS, UA Cooperative Extension, and the State Climate Office at ASU or The University of Arizona be liable to you or to any third party for any direct, indirect, incidental, consequential, special or exemplary damages or lost profit resulting from any use or misuse of this data.