Publications
Advances in Seasonal Forecasting for Water Management in Arizona: A Case Study of the 1997-98 El Nino, Tucson, AZ: Department of Hydrology and Water Resources, The University of Arizona.
, 1999. CLIMAS Ranching Case Study: Year 1, Tucson, AZ: Climate Assessment for the Southwest, University of Arizona.
, 1999. The Climate of the Southwest, Tucson, AZ: Climate Assessment for the Southwest, University of Arizona.
, 1999. Climate Variability in the Southwest: An Integrated Assessment. 16th Annual Pacific Climate Workshop on Climate Variability of the Eastern North Pacific and Western North America (PACLIM).
, 1999. Teleconnections between Winter Circulation Patterns, Surface Climatology, and Vegetation Behavior in the Southwest U.S. 11th Conference on Applied Climatology.
, 1999. Teleconnections between Winter Circulation Patterns, Surface Climatology, and Vegetation Behavior in the Southwest U.S. 11th Conference on Applied Climatology.
, 1999. Weather, Climate, and Hydrologic Forecasting for the Southwest U.S., Tucson, AZ: Climate Assessment for the Southwest, University of Arizona.
, 1999. An Assessment of Climate Vulnerability in the Middle San Pedro River, Tucson, AZ: Climate Assessment for the Southwest, University of Arizona.
, 2000. Climate Forecasts: a New Tool for Hazard Management in the Southwestern U.S. Natural Hazards Observer, 24(6), pp.7-8.
, 2000. Human Health: Climate and Valley Fever. In Preparing for a Changing Climate. The Potential Consequences of Climate Variability and Change: Southwest. Tucson, AZ: Institute for the Study of Planet Earth, University of Arizona.
, 2000. Seasonal forecasts for water resources in the U.S.: Southwest applications and evaluations. San Pedro Conference: Divided Waters - Common Ground, pp.98-99.
, 2000. Seasonal Water Supply Forecast Performance: Issues and Evaluations. EOS, Transactions, American Geophysical Union, 81(19S), p.205.
, 2000. Stakeholder Driven Research in a Hydroclimatic Context. Tucson, AZ: University of Arizona.
, 2001. Using Climate Forecasts for Water Management: Arizona and the 1997-1998 El Nino. JAWRA Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 37(5), pp.1139-1153.
, 2001. Using Regression and Neural Networks to Reconstruct Circulation Indices and Precipitation in the Southwest. 81st Annual Meeting of the American Meteorological Society.
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The Climate of the U.S. Southwest. Climate Research, 21(3), pp.219-318.
, 2002. Climate Science and Services: Some Lessons from CLIMAS. 19th Annual Pacific Climate (PACLIM) Workshop.
, 2002. Confidence Builders: Evaluating Seasonal Climate Forecasts from User Perspectives. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 83(5), pp.683-698.
, 2002. Cool Season Precipitation in the Southwestern United States Since AD 1000: Comparison of Linear and Nonlinear Techniques for Reconstruction. International Journal of Climatology, 22, pp.1645-1662.
, 2002. Customized On-Line Climate Forecast Evaluations: a Tool for Improving Water and Watershed Management. 10th Conference on Agricultural, Range, and Aviation Meteorology.
, 2002. Factors affecting seasonal forecast use in Arizona water management: a case study of the 1997-98 El Nino. Climate Research, 21(3), pp.259-269.
, 2002. How Good are Seasonal Climate Forecasts?. The Climate Report, 3(1), pp.6-11.
, 2002. Weather, Climate, and Hydrologic Forecasting for the U.S. Southwest: A Survey. Climate Research, 21(3), pp.239-258.
, 2002. Advanced Hydrologic Predictions for Improving Water Management. In Water: Science, Policy and Management. American Geophysical Union , pp. 285-387.
, 2003. Advanced Hydrologic Predictions for Improving Water Management. In Water: Science, Policy and Management. American Geophysical Union , pp. 285-387.
, 2003. Advanced Hydrologic Predictions for Improving Water Management. In Water: Science, Policy and Management. American Geophysical Union , pp. 285-387.
, 2003. Climate in Medieval Time. Science, 302(5644), pp.404-405.
, 2003. Frequency-Dependent Climate Signal in Upper and Lower Forest Border Trees in the Mountains of the Great Basin. Climatic Change, 59(1-2), pp.233-244.
, 2003. Increase in Coccidioidomycosis - Arizona, 1998-2001. Morbidity and Mortality Weekly Report, 52, pp.109-112.
, 2003. Moving Borders from the Periphery to the Center: river basins, political boundaries, and water management policy. In Water: Science, Policy and Management American Geophysical Union . Washington, DC.: Water Resources Monograph, pp. 143-159.
, 2003. Verification of National Weather Service Ensemble Streamflow Predictions for Water Supply Forecasting in the Colorado River Basin. Journal of Hydrometeorology, 4(6), pp.1105-1118.
, 2003. Water: science, policy, and management; challenges and opportunities, Washington, D.C.: American Geophysical Union.
, 2003. Estimating the distribution of snow water equivalent and snow extent beneath cloud cover in the Salt–Verde River basin, Arizona. Hydrological Processes, 18(9), pp.1595-1611.
, 2004. National Seasonal Assessment Workshop: Eastern and Southern States. National Seasonal Assessment Workshops for Fire Potential.
, 2004. National Seasonal Assessment Workshop: Western States and Alaska. National Seasonal Assessment Workshops for Fire Potential.
, 2004. Arctic System on Trajectory to New, Seasonally Ice-Free State. EOS, 86(34), pp.309-316.
, 2005. Arctic System on Trajectory to New, Seasonally Ice-Free State. EOS, 86(34), pp.309-316.
, 2005. Arctic System on Trajectory to New, Seasonally Ice-Free State. EOS, 86(34), pp.309-316.
, 2005. Arctic System on Trajectory to New, Seasonally Ice-Free State. EOS, 86(34), pp.309-316.
, 2005. Brief - National Seasonal Assessment Workshop: Eastern and Southern States. National Seasonal Assessment Workshop for Fire Potential.
, 2005. Climate experts discuss winter and spring forecasts. Southwest Climate Outlook, 4(11), pp.2-3.
, 2005. An epidemic of coccidioidomycosis in Arizona associated with climate changes, 1998-2001. Journal of Infectious Diseases, 191(11), pp.1981-1987.
, 2005. Examining the Recent Climate Through the Lens of Ecology: Inferences from Temporal Pattern Analysis. Ecological Applications, 15(2), pp.440-457.
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National Seasonal Assessment Workshop: Eastern & Southern States. National Seasonal Assessment Workshops for Fire Potential.
, 2005. National Seasonal Assessment Workshop: Western States and Alaska. National Seasonal Assessment Workshops for Fire Potential.
, 2005. Significant Fire Potential Outlook 2005. EastFIRE Conference, p.4 pp.
, 2005. Use of Climate Information in Water Resources Management. In Encyclopedia of Hydrological Sciences. West Essex, United Kingdom: John Wiley and Sons, Ltd.
, 2005. Brief - National Seasonal Assessment Workshop: Eastern, Southern, & Southwest Geographic Areas. National Seasonal Assessment Workshops for Fire Potential.
, 2006. Brief - National Seasonal Assessment Workshop: Western States & Alaska. National Seasonal Assessment Workshops for Fire Potential.
, 2006. Decision Support Tools: Strategies for Effectively Linking Hydroclimatic Science and Society. American Geophysical Union, 12.
, 2006. National Seasonal Assessment Workshops Joint Final Report: Western States & Alaska, Eastern, Southern, & Southwestern States. National Seasonal Assessment Workshops for Fire Potential.
, 2006. NWS new local three-month temperature outlook. Southwest Climate Outlook, 5(8), pp.3-4.
, 2006. Stubborn' Drought, Hurricanes Add to Fire Worries. Wildfire, 15(2).
, 2006. Warming and Earlier Spring Increase Western U.S. Forest Wildfire Activity. Science, 313(5789), pp.940-943.
, 2006. Changes on the range: Exploring climate change with range managers. Journal of Natural Resources Life Science Education, 36, pp.76-86.
, 2007. Global warming in the Southwest: Projections, Observations and Impacts , Tucson, AZ: Climate Assessment for the Southwest, University of Arizona.
, 2007. National Seasonal Assessment Workshop: Eastern, Southern, & Southwest Geographic Areas. National Seasonal Assessment Workshops for Fire Potential.
, 2007. National Seasonal Assessment Workshop: Western States and Alaska. National Seasonal Assessment Workshops for Fire Potential.
, 2007. Scenario Development for Water Resources Planning and Management. In Changes in Water Resources Systems: Methodologies to Maintain Water Security and Ensure Integrated Management. Wallingford, UK: International Association of Hydrological Sciences, pp. 192-198.
, 2007. The Current Drought in Context: A Tree-Ring Based Evaluation of Water Supply Variability for the Salt-Verde River Basin, Tucson, AZ: The University of Arizona, The Laboratory of Tree-Ring Research.
, 2008. Diagnosing 2007 U.S. precipitation extremes. Southwest Climate Outlook, 7(4), pp.3-5.
, 2008. Formal Scenario Development for Environmental Impact Assessment Studies. In Developments in Integrated Environmental Assessment. Amsterdam: Elsevier, pp. 145-162.
, 2008. Formal Scenario Development for Environmental Impact Assessment Studies. In Developments in Integrated Environmental Assessment. Amsterdam: Elsevier, pp. 145-162.
, 2008. Making Decision-Support Information Useful, Useable, and Responsive to Decision-Maker Needs. In Decision Support Experiments and Evaluations using Seasonal-to-Interannual Forecasts and Observational Data: A Focus on Water Resources. Asheville, N.C.: U.S. Climate Change Science Program and the Subcommittee on Global Change Research.
, 2008. Managing Flash Floods: Risk Perception from a Cultural Perspective. Tucson, AZ: University of Arizona.
, 2008. National Seasonal Assessment Workshop: Eastern & Southern Geographic Areas. National Seasonal Assessment Workshops for Fire Potential.
, 2008. Flood Flows of the San Pedro River Basin. In Ecology and Conservation of the San Pedro River. Tucson: University of Arizona Press.
, 2009. A Formal Framework for Scenario Development in Support of Environmental Decision-Making. Environmental Modeling and Software, 24(7), pp.798-808.
, 2009. A Formal Framework for Scenario Development in Support of Environmental Decision-Making. Environmental Modeling and Software, 24(7), pp.798-808.
, 2009. Future Hydroclimatology and the Research Challenges of a Post-Stationary World. Journal of Contemporary Water Research and Education, (142), pp.4-9.
, 2009. National Seasonal Assessment Workshop: Western States and Alaska. National Seasonal Assessment Workshops for Fire Potential.
, 2009. North American Seasonal Assessment Workshop (NASAW): Canada, Mexico, and Western U.S. Outlook. National Seasonal Assessment Workshops for Fire Potential.
, 2009. Political and Economic Apertures and the Shifting State-Citizen Relationship: Reforming Mexico’s National Water Policy. In Water policy entrepreneurs: a research companion to water transitions around the globe. Northampton, MA: Edward Elgar, pp. 79-96.
, 2009. Climate Change Adaptation Workshop for Natural Resource Managers in the Gunnison Basin: Summary. Southwest Climate Change Initiative, December 2009 Workshop, p.45.
, 2010. , 2010.
Impacts of Climate Change Legislation on Agriculture in the Rocky Mountain States: Arizona, Colorado and New Mexico., Dekalb, IL: Center for Agriculture in the Environment.
, 2010. National Seasonal Assessment Workshop: Western States and Alaska. National Seasonal Assessment Workshops for Fire Potential.
, 2010. Appendix 4 - Participatory scenario planning in regional and sectoral stakeholder activities in the National Climate Assessment, Washington, D.C.: National Climate Assessment Development and Advisory Committee.
, 2011. , 2011.
Drought Preparedness for Tribes in the Four Corners Region Workshop Report, Tucson, AZ: Climate Assessment for the Southwest, University of Arizona.
, 2011. An Emerging Protocol for Research to Operations (R2O) at Climate Prediction Center (CPD) 36th Annual NOAA Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop.
, 2011. An Emerging Protocol for Research to Operations (R2O) at Climate Prediction Center (CPD) 36th Annual NOAA Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop.
, 2011. Estimated Impacts of Climate Change Legislation on New Mexico Agriculture, Las Cruces, NM: Agricultural Experiment Station, New Mexico State University.
, 2011. How do Homebuyers Value Different Types of Green Space. Journal of Agricultural and Resource Economics, 36(2), pp.395-415.
, 2011. Inter-Sectoral Water Trading as a Climate Change Adaptation Strategy. In Water Resources Planning and Management. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
, 2011. Responding to Climate Change Impacts in the Sky Island Region: From Planning to Action Merging science and management in a rapidly changing world: Biodiversity and management of the Madrean Archipelago III.
, 2012. Chp 7: Future Climate: Projected Extremes. In Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment. Washington, D.C.: Island Press, pp. 126-147.
, 2013. Informing Decisions with a Climate Synthesis Product: Implications for Regional Climate Services. Weather, Climate, and Society, 5(1), pp.83-92.
, 2013. Fostering Conducive Conditions for Climate Assessments: Collaborative Scenario Planning and the Colorado River Basin Study. Tucson, AZ: The University of Arizona.
, 2014. 2014 Climate and Society Fellows Report: Achieving Scientific Literacy in the Classroom, Tucson, AZ: Climate Assessment for the Southwest, University of Arizona.
, 2015. Managing Climate Risks through Water Trading. In Routledge Handbook of Water Economics and Institutions. New York: Routledge.
, 2015. Moving Toward the Deliberate Co-Production of Climate Science Knowledge. Weather Climate and Society, 7, pp.179-191.
, 2015. Divergent responses of vegetation cover in Southwestern U.S. ecosystems to dry and wet years at different elevations. Environmental Research Letters, 11, p.124005.
, 2016. Economic Impact of Cooperative Extension Efforts in Rangeland Management for Northern Arizona Ranching Allotment. Working Paper, Tucson, AZ: Arizona Cooperative Extension.
, 2016. Improving the Federal Response to Western Drought: Five Areas for Reform, San Francisco, CA: Public Policy Institute of California.
, 2016. Reconstructions of Columbia River streamflow from tree ring chronologies in the Pacific Northwest, USA. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 52(5), pp.1121-1141.
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Econometric Analysis of the Arizona Alfalfa Market. University of Arizona.
, 2019. , 2019.