Publications

Martin, J.T. et al., 2019. 1200 years of Upper Missouri River streamflow reconstructed from tree rings,

Hartmann, H., Bradley, A. & Hamlet, A., 2003. Advanced Hydrologic Predictions for Improving Water Management. In R. Lawford et al., eds. Water: Science, Policy and Management. American Geophysical Union , pp. 285-387.

Lega, J., Brown, H. & Barrera, R., 2017. Aedes aegypti abundance model improved with relative humidity and precipitation-driven egg hatching. Journal of Medical Entomology.

Leroy, S., Garfin, G. & Black, M., 2016. Anticipating cascading effects from climate extremes. EOS, 97.

Ray, A. et al., 2007. Applications of Monsoon Research: Opportunities to Inform Decision Making and Reduce Regional Vulnerability. Journal of Climate, 20(9), pp.1608-1627.

Overpeck, J.T. et al., 2005. Arctic System on Trajectory to New, Seasonally Ice-Free State. EOS, 86(34), pp.309-316.

Liverman, D. et al., 2015. Arizona's Views on Climate Change - Executive Summary,

Garfin, G.M. et al., 2013. Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment, Washington, D.C.: Island Press.

Lenart, M., 2003. Average winter rains in Arizona could bring drought relief. Southwest Climate Outlook, 2(11), pp.1-3.

Lenart, M., 2004. Beetles devastate forests in response to drought. Southwest Climate Outlook, 3(5), pp.2-4.

Jäger, M.Beth et al., 2019. Building an Indigenous Foods Knowledges Network Through Relational Accountability,

Garfin, G.M. et al., 2011. CHANGE: Climate and Hydrology Academic Network for Governance and the Environment. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 92(8), pp.1045-1048.

Frisvold, G.B. et al., 2013. Chp 11: Agriculture and Ranching. In G. M. Garfin et al., eds. Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment. Washington, D.C.: Island Press, pp. 218-239.

Brown, H. et al., 2013. Chp 15: Human Health. In G. M. Garfin et al., eds. Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment. Washington, D.C.: Island Press, pp. 312-340.

Brown, H. et al., 2013. Chp 15: Human Health. In G. M. Garfin et al., eds. Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment. Washington, D.C.: Island Press, pp. 312-340.

Wilder, M. et al., 2013. Chp 16: Climate Change and U.S.-Mexico Border Communities. In Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment. Washington, D.C.: Island Press, pp. 340-384.

Wilder, M. et al., 2013. Chp 16: Climate Change and U.S.-Mexico Border Communities. In Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment. Washington, D.C.: Island Press, pp. 340-384.

Garfin, G.M. & Jardine, A., 2013. Chp 2: Overview. In Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment. Washington, D.C.: Island Press, pp. 21-36.

Gershunov, A. et al., 2013. Chp 7: Future Climate: Projected Extremes. In Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment. Washington, D.C.: Island Press, pp. 126-147.

Liverman, D. & Merideth, R., 2002. Climate and Society in the U.S. Southwest: the Context for a Regional Assessment. Climate Research, 21(3), pp.199-218.

Liverman, D. & Kourous, G., 1999. Climate Change and the Borderlands: an Introduction and Assessment. Borderlines, 56(7).

Garfin, G.M. & Lenart, M., 2007. Climate Change Effects on Southwest Water Resources. Southwest Hydrology, 6(1), pp.16-17, 34.

Cole, J. et al., 2004. Climate experts discuss Southwest drought. Southwest Climate Outlook, 3(9).

Brandon, D. et al., 2005. Climate experts discuss winter and spring forecasts. Southwest Climate Outlook, 4(11), pp.2-3.

Leroy, S. & Garfin, G., 2015. Climate Extremes Data and Communication Products for Western Adaptation Alliance Cities in the Intermountain Southwest, Tucson, AZ: Climate Assessment for the Southwest.

LeRoy, S. & Garfin, G., 2017. Climate of Las Cruces,

Meadow, A.M. et al., 2018. Climate Profile for The City of Flagstaff, Arizona,

Meadow, A.M. et al., 2020. Climate Profile for The Highlands at Dove Mountain,

Meadow, A. et al., 2019. Climate Profile for the Pueblo of Laguna,

Meadow, A.M., Weiss, J. & LeRoy, S., 2021. Climate Profile for the Upper Santa Cruz River Watershed, Tucson: Climate Assessment for the Southwest.

Meadow, A.M. et al., 2020. Climate Profile for The Verde Valley,

Comrie, A.C. et al., 2002. Climate Science and Services: Some Lessons from CLIMAS. 19th Annual Pacific Climate (PACLIM) Workshop.

Garfin, G. et al., 2017. Climate Services for Coping with Climate Change, Drought, and Extreme Heat in the México-U.S. Border Region. In La Cuenca Del Rio Conchos: Una Mirada Desde Las Ciencias Ante El Cambio Climatico. Jiutepec, Morelos, Mexico: Instituto Mexicano de Tecnología del Agua, pp. 23-57.

Garfin, G.M. et al., 2011. Climate-Friendly Park Employees: The Intermountain Region's Climate Change Training Assessment. Park Science, 28(1).

Lenart, M., 2006. Collaborative Stewardship to Prevent Wildfires. Environment, 48(7), pp.8-21.

Lenart, M. & Chatterjee, A., 2007. Cooling systems affect resources, climate, and health. Southwest Climate Outlook, 6(9), pp.3-5.

Lemos, M.C. & Morehouse, B.J., 2005. The Co-Production of Science and Policy in Integrated Climate Assessments. Global Environmental Change, 15, pp.57-68.

Weltzin, J. et al., 2016. Daily Accumulated Growing Degree Day and Spring Index Maps. Information sheet.,

Norman, L. et al., 2010. Developing an Ecosystem Services Online Decision Support Tool to Assess the Impacts of Climate Change and Urban Growth in the Santa Cruz Watershed; Where We Live, Work, and Play. Sustainability, 2(7), pp.2044-2069.

Garfin, G. & LeRoy, S., 2017. Developing an Integrated Heat Health Information System for Long-Term Resilience to Climate and Weather Extremes in the El Paso-Juarez-Las Cruces Region: Report from the workshop held in El Paso, TX, July 13, 2016, Tucson, AZ: Institute of the Environment.

Garfin, G., LeRoy, S. & Jones, H., 2017. Developing Integrated Heat-Health Information for Long-term Resilience and Early Warning for the El Paso-Juárez-Las Cruces Region,

Garfin, G.M. et al., 2010. Downscaling Climate Projections in Topographically Diverse Landscapes of the Colorado Plateau in the Arid Southwestern United States C. Van Riper, III, Wakeling, B. , & Sisk, T. , eds. The Colorado Plateau IV: Proceedings of the 9th Biennial Conference on Colorado Plateau Research, pp.21-24.

Woodhouse, C.A. & Lukas, J.J., 2006. Drought, Tree Rings, and Water Resource Management in Colorado. Canadian Water Resources, 31(4), pp.1-14.

Garfin, G.M., P. Lankao, R. & Varady, R., 2013. Editorial: Rethinking integrated assessments and management projects in the Americas. Environmental Science & Policy, 26, pp.1-5.

Brown, H. et al., 2017. Effect of temperature thresholds on modeled Aedes aegypti population dynamics. Journal of Medical Entomology.

Lenart, M., 2002. El Niño: A focus on variability. END InSight, 1(1), p.1.

Lenart, M., 2006. El Niño: a wild card for climate change impacts. Southwest Climate Outlook, 5(1), pp.2-4.

Liverman, D. et al., 1999. Environmental Issues Along the U.S. Mexico Border: Drivers of Changes and the Response of Citizens and Institutions. Annual Review of Energy and Environment, 24, pp.607-643.

Lenart, M., 2007. Everybody counts when reining in global warming. Southwest Climate Outlook, 6(2), pp.3-5.

Naden, R. et al., 2006. Experts discuss early start to Southwest fire season. Southwest Climate Outlook, 5(3), pp.2-4.

Garfin, G. & Leroy, S., 2015. Extreme Heat Toolkit, Tucson, AZ: Climate Assessment for the Southwest.

Garfin, G.M. et al., 2005. Fire Season Could Mean Double Trouble for West. Wildfire.

Lenart, M., 2004. Forecasters expect below-normal East Pacific hurricane activity despite likely El Niño development this season. Southwest Climate Outlook, 3(8), pp.3-4.

Mahmoud, M. et al., 2009. A Formal Framework for Scenario Development in Support of Environmental Decision-Making. Environmental Modeling and Software, 24(7), pp.798-808.

Mahmoud, M. et al., 2009. A Formal Framework for Scenario Development in Support of Environmental Decision-Making. Environmental Modeling and Software, 24(7), pp.798-808.

Liu, Y. et al., 2008. Formal Scenario Development for Environmental Impact Assessment Studies. In A. Jakeman et al., eds. Developments in Integrated Environmental Assessment. Amsterdam: Elsevier, pp. 145-162.

Liu, Y. et al., 2008. Formal Scenario Development for Environmental Impact Assessment Studies. In A. Jakeman et al., eds. Developments in Integrated Environmental Assessment. Amsterdam: Elsevier, pp. 145-162.

Norman, L.M. et al., 2013. Framing Scenarios of Binational Water Policy with a Tool to Visualize, Quantify and Valuate Changes in Ecosystem Services. Water, 5(3), pp.852-874.

Lenart, M., 2004. The future Colorado River: Will it deliver?. Southwest Climate Outlook, 3(12), pp.2-4.

Overpeck, J.T., Miller, M. & Liverman, D., 2011. Global Climate Change as a Local Phenomenon. In E. Schlager, Engel, K. , & Rider, S. , eds. Navigating climate change policy : the opportunities of federalism. Tucson: University of Arizona Press, p. viii, 276 p.

Lenart, M., 2006. Global warming could affect groundwater recharge. Southwest Climate Outlook, 5(11), pp.3-5.

Lenart, M., 2005. Is global warming creeping into Southwest forests?. Southwest Climate Outlook, 4(2), pp.2-5.

Lenart, M., 2007. Global warming in the Southwest: An overview. Southwest Climate Outlook, 6(4), pp.3-6.

Lenart, M., 2007. Global warming in the Southwest: Projections, Observations and Impacts G. M. Garfin et al., eds., Tucson, AZ: Climate Assessment for the Southwest, University of Arizona.

Lenart, M., 2007. Global warming inspires a look at solar, wind energy. Southwest Climate Outlook, 6(7), pp.3-6.

Lenart, M., 2006. Grassland dynamics shift with climate fluctuations. Southwest Climate Outlook, 5(2), pp.2-4.

Lenart, M., Garfin, G.M. & Overpeck, J.T., 2004. The Heat Is On. Sonorensis, pp.20-28.

Brickey, C. et al., 2010. How to Take Climate Change into Account: A Guidance Document for Adjudicating Water Disputes. Environmental Law Reporter, 40, pp.11215-11228.

Lenart, M., 2005. How to use the climate Forecast Evaluation Tool. Southwest Climate Outlook, 4(10), pp.2-4.

Lukas, J. & Woodhouse, C.A., 2007. How tree rings can help reconstruct streamflow. Southwest Climate Outlook, 6(5), pp.3-5.

Liverman, D., Yarnal, B. & Turner, B., 2001. The Human Dimensions of Global Environmental Change. In G. Gaile & Wilmott, C. , eds. Geography: A Millennial Assessment.

Lenart, M., 2006. Hurricane intensity rises with sea surface temps. Southwest Climate Outlook, 5(6), pp.3-5.

Mount, J. et al., 2016. Improving the Federal Response to Western Drought: Five Areas for Reform, San Francisco, CA: Public Policy Institute of California.

Lenart, M., 2013. Increased health woes among climate change impacts. Southwest Climate Outlook, 12(1), pp.3-5.

Neff, J. et al., 2008. Increasing Eolian Dust Deposition in the Western United States Linked to Human Activity. Nature Geoscience, 1(3), pp.189-195.

Neff, J. et al., 2008. Increasing Eolian Dust Deposition in the Western United States Linked to Human Activity. Nature Geoscience, 1(3), pp.189-195.

Lenart, M., 2005. Inquiry into monsoon and global warming continues. Southwest Climate Outlook, 4(7), pp.2-4.

Bales, R., Liverman, D. & Morehouse, B.J., 2004. Integrated Assessment as a Step Toward Reducing Climate Vulnerability in the Southwestern United States. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 85(11), pp.1727-1734.

Cavazos, T., Comrie, A.C. & Liverman, D., 2002. Intraseasonal Variability Associated with Wet Monsoons in Southeast Arizona. Journal of Climate, 15(17), pp.2477-2490.

Lenart, M. & Ellis, A., 2010. Introducing the Moisture Balance Drought Index. Southwest Climate Outlook, 9(8), pp.3-5.

Lenart, M., 2006. Islands in a Sea of Change. Restoring Connections, 9(3), pp.3-9.

Liverman, D. & Breunig, L., 1999. Land Use Change and Climate Change in the Greater Chihuahuan Desert Ecoregion,

Cavazos, T., Comrie, A.C. & Liverman, D., 1999. Local and Remote Linkages Associated with Extreme Precipitation Events During the Monsoon Season in Southeast Arizona. 24th Climate Diagnostics and Prediction Workshop.

Liu, J., 2017. The local development of collaborative governance under the Sloping Land Conversion Program in rural arid China, Tucson: CLIMAS.

Lenart, M., 2004. Low flow in the Colorado River Basin spurs water shortage discussion among seven states. Southwest Climate Outlook, 3(11), pp.2-4.

DeGomez, T. & Lenart, M., 2006. Management of Forests and Woodlands. Arizona Cooperative Extension, (AZ1424).

Lackstrom, K. et al., 2013. The Missing Piece: Drought Impacts Monitoring, Carolinas Integrated Sciences & Assessments Program and the Climate Assessment for the Southwest.

Lenart, M. & Carter, R., 2002. Monsoon brings relief, but not likely to end drought conditions. END InSight, 1(2), pp.1-2.

Lenart, M., 2005. Monsoon could strengthen as climate warms. Southwest Climate Outlook, 4(6), pp.2-4.

Lenart, M., 2004. Monsoon forecasting could improve following study. Southwest Climate Outlook, 3(7), pp.2-5.

Lenart, M., 2006. Monsoon impact on society: the good and the bad. Southwest Climate Outlook, 5(7), pp.3-6.

Ray, A. et al., 2007. Monsoon region climate applications. Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society, 88(6), pp.933-935.

Jacobs, K., Garfin, G.M. & Lenart, M., 2005. More than Just Talk: Connecting Science and Decision Making. Environment, 47(9), pp.6-21.

Jacobs, K., Garfin, G.M. & Lenart, M., 2011. More Than Just Talk: Connecting Science and Decisionmaking. In D. Lewis Feldman, ed. Geopolitics of Natural Resources. Northampton, MA: Edward Elgar.

Varady, R. & Morehouse, B.J., 2003. Moving Borders from the Periphery to the Center: river basins, political boundaries, and water management policy. In R. Lawford et al., eds. Water: Science, Policy and Management American Geophysical Union . Washington, DC.: Water Resources Monograph, pp. 143-159.

Garfin, G.M. et al., 2012. National Seasonal Assessment Workshop: Eastern, Southern, & Southwest Geographic Areas. National Seasonal Assessment Workshops for Fire Potential.

Lenart, M. et al., 2005. National Seasonal Assessment Workshop: Eastern & Southern States. National Seasonal Assessment Workshops for Fire Potential.

Leonard, C. et al., 2011. National Seasonal Assessment Workshop for Eastern, Southern, and Southwest Geographic Areas. National Seasonal Assessment Workshops for Fire Potential.

Ochoa, R. et al., 2005. National Seasonal Assessment Workshop: Western States and Alaska. National Seasonal Assessment Workshops for Fire Potential.

Lenart, M., 2005. Nature's clock ringing in earlier springs. Southwest Climate Outlook, 4(9), pp.2-4.

Garfin, G. & LeRoy, S., 2017. NIHHIS Rio Grande-Rio Bravo 2017 Summer Meeting: Evaluation, Knowledge Sharing, and Next Steps Summary, Tucson, AZ: Institute of the Environment.

Garfin, G. & LeRoy, S., 2017. NIHHIS Southwest Regional Pilot: 2017 Winter Work Streams Meeting Summary, Tucson, AZ: Institute of the Environment.

Wright, E. et al., 2001. North American Monsoonal Moisture Sources Revealed Using Temperature, Precipitation, and Precipitation Stable Isotope Time Series. Geophysical Research Letters, 28, pp.787-790.

Wright, E. et al., 2001. North American Monsoonal Moisture Sources Revealed Using Temperature, Precipitation, and Precipitation Stable Isotope Time Series. Geophysical Research Letters, 28, pp.787-790.

Wilder, M. & P. Lankao, R., 2006. Paradoxes of Decentralization: Water Reform and Social Implications in Mexico. World Development, 34(11), pp.1977-1995.

Lenart, M., 2004. Plan to thin trees in Apache-Sitreaves forest could increase streamflow in short term. Southwest Climate Outlook, 3(10), pp.2-5.

Briggs, M.K. et al., 2013. Planning River Restoration in a Changing Climate. Merging Science and Management in a Rapidly Changing World: Biodiversity and Management of the Madrean Archielago, 593.

David-Chavez, D. et al., 2020. Policy Brief: Supporting Tribal Data Governance for Indigenous Community Climate Resilience,

David-Chavez, D. et al., 2020. Policy Brief: Supporting Tribal Data Governance for Indigenous Community Climate Resilience,

Vásquez-León, M. & Liverman, D., 2004. The Political Ecology of Land-Use Change: the Case of Affluent Ranchers and Destitute Farmers in the Mexican Municipio of Alamos. Human Organizations, 63(1), pp.21-33.

Lenart, M., 2006. Population growth, warming, and water supply. Southwest Climate Outlook, 5(9), pp.3-6.

Garfin, G. et al., 2016. Preparing for High-Consequence, Low-Probability Events: Heat, Water & Energy in the Southwest, Tucson, AZ: The University of Arizona.

Brown, H. et al., 2015. Projection of climate change influences on U.S. West Nile virus vectors. Earth Interactions, 19(18), pp.1-18.

Roach, M. et al., 2017. Projections of Climate Impacts on Vector-Borne Diseases and Valley Fever in Arizona. A report prepared for the Arizona Department of Health Services and the U.S. Centers for Disease Control and Prevention Climate-Ready States and Cities Initiative,

Lenart, M., 2004. Ranchers split on supporting grazing permit buyout. Southwest Climate Outlook, 3(2), pp.1-2.

Lenart, M., 2013. Recent freeze events: Natural variability or weird weather?. Southwest Climate Outlook, 12(3), pp.3-5.

Littell, J. et al., 2016. Reconstructions of Columbia River streamflow from tree ring chronologies in the Pacific Northwest, USA. Journal of the American Water Resources Association, 52(5), pp.1121-1141.

Koracin, D. et al., 2011. Regional Source Identification Using Lagrangian Stochastic Particle Dispersion and HYSPLIT Backward-Trajectory Models. Journal of the Air & Waste Management Association, 61(6), pp.660-672.

Lenart, M., Jones, C. & Kimball, B., 2006. Rising Carbon Dioxide Levels and Forest Management. Arizona Cooperative Extension, (AZ1395).

Lenart, M., 2006. Rising temperatures bump up risk of wildfires. Southwest Climate Outlook, 5(4), pp.2-6.

Guido, Z. & Lenart, M., 2011. Rising temperatures bump up risk of wildfires. Southwest Climate Outlook, 10(3), pp.3-5.

Lenart, M., 2004. Salt cedar: Villain or scapegoat when it comes to water use?. Southwest Climate Outlook, 3(10), pp.2-5.

Stewart, S. et al., 2007. Scenario Development for Water Resources Planning and Management. In N. van de Giesen et al., eds. Changes in Water Resources Systems: Methodologies to Maintain Water Security and Ensure Integrated Management. Wallingford, UK: International Association of Hydrological Sciences, pp. 192-198.

Lenart, M., 2004. Scientists look to ocean for clues about drought. Southwest Climate Outlook, 3(1), pp.1-4.

Meko, D.M. et al., 2013. Sierra San Pedro Mártir, Baja California, cool-season precipitation reconstructed from earlywood width of Abies concolor tree rings. Journal of Geophysical Research: Biogeosciences, 118(4), pp.1660-1673.

Lenart, M. et al., 2005. Significant Fire Potential Outlook 2005. EastFIRE Conference, p.4 pp.

Liverman, D. & O'Brien, K., 2000. Southern Skies: International Environmental Policy in Mexico. In W. Clark et al., eds. Learning to Manage Global Environmental Risks: A Comparative History of Social Responses to Climate Change, Ozone Depletion and Acid Rain. Cambridge, MA: The MIT Press.

Wilder, M. et al., 2016. Southwest climate gap: Poverty and environmental justice in the U.S. Southwest. Local Environment: The International journal of Justice and Sustainability , 21(11), pp.1332-1353.

Lenart, M., 2002. Southwest drought could persist despite monsoon, El Niño. END InSight, (1), pp.1-3.

Lamberton, M., 2009. Southwest faces diminished stream flows, new water policies. Southwest Climate Outlook, 8(6), pp.1-3.

Lenart, M., 2004. Southwest faces high fire risk despite recent rains. Southwest Climate Outlook, 3(4), pp.1-2.

Lenart, M., 2013. Southwest must make choices about future climate. Southwest Climate Outlook, 12(2), pp.3-5.

Lenart, M., 2003. Southwestern drought regimes might worsen with climate change. Southwest Climate Outlook, 2(12), pp.1-3.

Li, L., 2010. State Adoption of Greenhouse Gas Emission Targets and Renewable Portfolio Standards. Tucson, AZ: University of Arizona.

Hartmann, H., 2012. Strategies and tactics for the design of hydroclimatic decision support tools R. Seppelt et al., eds.

Dressier, K. et al., 2004. Streamflow Estimation from Hydrologic Model Assimilation of Remotely Sensed Snow Information in Snowmelt Dominated Basins. American Geophysical Union, Fall Meeting 2004, (47).

Overpeck, J.T. et al., 2013. Summary for Decision Makers. In G. M. Garfin et al., eds. Assessment of Climate Change in the Southwest United States: A Report Prepared for the National Climate Assessment. Washington, D.C.: Island Press.

Lemos, M. et al., 2018. To co-produce or not to co-produce. Nature Sustainability.

Ferguson, D.B., 2015. Transdisciplinary Climate Research to Support Decision Making. Tucson, AZ: University of Arizona.

Liverman, D., 1999. Vulnerability and Adaptation to Drought in Mexico. Natural Resources Journal, 39(1), pp.99-115.

Jacobs, K., Garfin, G.M. & Lenart, M., 2005. Walking The Talk: Connecting Science with Decisionmaking. Environment, 47(9), pp.6-21.

Lenart, M., 2005. Water, energy, and climate linked in complex ways. Southwest Climate Outlook, 4(8), pp.2-5.

Lawford, R.D. et al., 2003. Water: science, policy, and management; challenges and opportunities, Washington, D.C.: American Geophysical Union.

Chatterjee, A. & Lenart, M., 2007. Water-Energy Trade-Offs Between Swamp Coolers and Air Conditioners. Southwest Hydrology, 6(5), pp.28-29, 34.

Lamberton, M., 2012. Western States Seed Clouds in Search of New Water. Southwest Climate Outlook, 11(1), pp.3-5.

Lenart, M., 2005. Will April rains bring May flames?. Southwest Climate Outlook, 4(4), pp.1-3.

Lenart, M., 2005. Will the drought continue?. Southwest Climate Outlook, 4(3), pp.1-4.