SW Climate Podcast - Mini-Video Podcast on El Niño and ENSO Models
Assistant Research Professor, Arizona Institutes for Resilience
Assistant Professor of Anthropology, School of Anthropology
Ben McMahan joined CLIMAS after completing a PhD in Sociocultural Anthropology at the University of Arizona. His dissertation research was on hurricanes and disaster on the U.S. Gulf Coast, where he focused on
- Human interactions in dynamic social and environmental contexts,
- Risk perception and landscape changes during and after disaster, and
- Social network and policy responses to governance issues related to the acute threats of disaster; as they layer onto long term environmental issues and landscape scale changes.
He was also a key contributor to UA Bureau of Applied Research in Anthropology (BARA) collaborative/trans-disciplinary research on the social, economic, and environmental impacts of the US Oil and Gas industry (2007-2011), and the aftermath of the Deepwater Horizon oil spill (2010-2013).
At CLIMAS, his research activities included tracing how climate information is incorporated into regional decision maker networks, leading CLIMAS team research on the risks and effects of climate extremes, and collaborative research on the effects of climate variability on phenology and temporality of native plants in the region. He was also responsible for working to develop collaborative research opportunities and outreach efforts at CLIMAS, and as part of ongoing assessment and science/strategic planning, he contributed to strategic planning used to prioritize future research and outreach directions. He also coordinated publication of the monthly Southwest Climate Outlook, produced the Southwest Climate Podcasts, and was the online editor for CLIMAS’ blog - Southwestern Oscillations.
Next up in our new series featuring video mini-segments from the podcast. This segment comes from the September 2014 SW Climate Podcast - and covers ENSO models and El Niño forecasts.
Mike Crimmins and Zack Guido talk about El Niño forecast models and the way that different metrics are used to predict/forecast an El Niño event.
Taken from the CLIMAS Southwest Climate Podcast
- Mike Crimmins - CLIMAS: Climate Assessment for the Southwest & University of Arizona Cooperative Extension
- Zack Guido - University of AZ International Research and Application Program (IRAP)
- Ben McMahan - CLIMAS: Climate Assessment for the Southwest
- Emily Huddleston - CLIMAS: Climate Assessment for the Southwest
Image Credits (in order of appearance):
- Sea Surface Temperature Anomalies - April to December during building El Niño - Source: NOAA/Climate.gov
- Global Sea Surface Anomalies - La Niña (1988) vs El Niño (1997) - Source: NOAA/Climate.gov
- Ocean SST anomalies during ENSO cycle - Source: http://bobtisdale.wordpress.com
- Mid-Sept IRI/CPC Plume-Based Probabilistic ENSO Forecast - Source: IRI/CPC
- April/May/June SST in Pacific Ocean - Source: NOAA/Climate.gov
- Mid-Sept 2014 Plume of Model ENSO Predictions - Source: IRI/CPC
- Oceanic Niño Index (ONI) over time - Source: NOAA/CPC
- El Niño vs. La Niña Winter Patterns - Source: NOAA
If you have a question you'd like answered, you can email Zack Guido (firstname.lastname@example.org) or Ben McMahan (email@example.com) with "CLIMAS Podcast Question" in the subject line. You can also tweet us @CLIMAS_UA or post a question on facebook