The University of Arizona

Fostering Conducive Conditions for Climate Assessments: Collaborative Scenario Planning and the Colorado River Basin Study | CLIMAS

    Join Mail List

Fostering Conducive Conditions for Climate Assessments: Collaborative Scenario Planning and the Colorado River Basin Study

Fostering Conducive Conditions for Climate Assessments: Collaborative Scenario Planning and the Colorado River Basin Study

Lead Investigator:  

The Colorado River Basin Supply and Demand Study, conducted by the Bureau of Reclamation, was an unprecedented attempt to bring together a variety of experts and stakeholders from the watershed to address the current imbalance between supply and demand from 2012 through 2060. The Basin Study was also the largest scenario-planning project to ever be conducted by the Bureau of Reclamation. While most scenarios are either an expert (or “judgment driven”) scenario model or a stakeholder-defined scenario, the Basin Study incorporated aspects from both of these models, creating a collaborative model. We hypothesize that this collaborative scenario planning process made it easier for stakeholders to find common ground on pathways to address common challenges, and that it fostered the use of climate change information in decision making. This project aims to evaluate the aforementioned hypotheses, through a critical evaluation of the Basin Study Scenario Planning activity and Basin Study participant responses to interview questions.